Articles by CalculatedRisk

Mortgage Equity Withdrawal slightly positive in Q3

Note: This is not Mortgage Equity Withdrawal (MEW) data from the Fed. The last MEW data from Fed economist Dr. Kennedy was for Q4 2008.The following data is calculated from the Fed’s Flow of Funds data (released yesterday) and the BEA supplement data o…



BLS: Job Openings increase to 7.1 Million in October

Notes: In October there were 7.0709 million job openings, and, according to the October Employment report, there were 6.075 million unemployed. So, for the seventh consecutive month, there were more job openings than people unemployed. Also note th…


Black Knight Mortgage Monitor for October

Black Knight released their Mortgage Monitor report for October today. According to Black Knight, 3.64% of mortgages were delinquent in October, down from 4.44% in October 2017. Black Knight also reported that 0.52% of mortgages were in the foreclosur…


Monday: Job Openings

Weekend:• Schedule for Week of December 9, 2018Monday:• At 10:00 AM ET, Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for October from the BLS. From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg futures: S&P 500 are down 16 and DOW futures are down 165 (fair value)…



Schedule for Week of December 9, 2018

The key economic reports this week are November CPI and Retail Sales.For manufacturing, November industrial production will be released this week.—– Monday, Dec 10th —–10:00 AM ET: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for October from the BLS. …


Q4 GDP Forecasts

From Merrill Lynch:Disappointing construction data sliced 0.2pp from our 4Q GDP tracking down to 2.5%, and a tenth off 3Q GDP down to 3.5%. [Dec 7 estimate].emphasis addedAnd from the Altanta Fed: GDPNowThe GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (s…