Last Trading Day of Q3 Historically Bearish

Over the last 21-year period the last trading day of the third quarter has been bearish. DJIA and S&P 500 have advanced just 33.3% of the time with average losses of 0.12% and 0.04% respectively. NASDAQ and Russell 2000 have performed slightly better, but still have declined more frequently than advanced. The best year for the last trading day of the quarter was in 2008 while 1998 and 2011 are essentially tied for worst. From 2006 through 2014 (nine years) the last trading day of the third quarter was only up once. Performance has been improving lately with all four indexes posting gains over the last three years.

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As always, please use protective buy and sell stops when trading futures and options.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. Any decision to purchase or sell as a result of the opinions expressed in the forum will be the full responsibility of the person(s) authorizing such transaction(s). BE ADVISED TO ALWAYS USE PROTECTIVE STOP LOSSES AND ALLOW FOR SLIPPAGE TO MANAGE YOUR TRADE(S) AS AN INVESTOR COULD LOSE ALL OR MORE THAN THEIR INITIAL INVESTMENT. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.

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