From Maryland to Maine, millions of American’s strapped on their rubber boots and grabbed a rusty snow shovel to end the week, after a fierce nor’easter dumped several feet of snow across the Northeast. This, of course, was backbreaking work for the nation’s oldest population, which by the way, is centered in the Northeast, according to Census data.
Just when the baby boomers thought it was safe… Ed Vallee, head meteorologist at Vallee Weather Consulting LLC., warns:
“A favorable upper atmospheric pattern will allow for yet another formation of a coastal low-pressure system early next week. There remains tremendous uncertainty as to how far north this system will travel and this will have a huge impact on the sensible weather across the Northeast. The northern part of the forecast envelope would deliver yet another impactful winter storm to the I-95 corridor with gusty winds, snow, and coastal flooding. The southern part of the forecast envelope would allow the system to strengthen, but stay far enough away to spare the Northeast entirely. Data over the weekend will be crucial in determining the ultimate track of this storm system.”
According to AccuWeather, another winter storm could deliver “accumulating snow, drenching rain and strong winds to part of the mid-Atlantic region” beginning throughout the day on Sunday and continuing into early next week. The first part of the storm will bring heavy rains and travel disruptions to much of the southeast by Sunday.
“At this time, we feel there is a better than 50/50 percent chance the worst of the storm will stay to the south and east of New York City,” according to AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dave Dombek. “A light amount of snow [and rain] cannot be ruled out with roads mainly [expected to stay] wet.”
AccuWeather believes the storm could turn northwards once it reaches the southeastern part of the United States. What does this mean? Well, if this could leave parts of Washington, D.C., to Boston with wintery conditions.
“It is still too early to totally write the storm off for the Northeast,” Dombek said.
AccuWeather’s outlines the regional impacts where the heaviest snow is likely:
At this time, the best chance of a heavy accumulation of snow, clogged roads and power outages from clinging snow is in the mountains from southern West Virginia and west-central Virginia to western North Carolina eastern Tennessee and eastern Kentucky.
Snow is likely to turn to rain in the mountains of North Carolina and Tennessee on Sunday.
Farther to the northeast, including the Washington, D.C., area, a combination of rain and snow is likely in eastern Virginia, eastern Maryland, Delaware and southern New Jersey.
This portion of the lower mid-Atlantic coast has the potential for snow to fall at a heavy rate. How much, if any, snow accumulates in this area will depend on the strength of the storm and whether or not temperatures dip into the low to middle 30s F or spend most of the time in the 40s.
AccuWeather warns of strong winds, coastal flooding from North Carolina to New Jersey:
The storm is likely to strengthen quickly enough to produce gusty winds along part of of the mid-Atlantic coast.
The winds will push water toward the coast and result in flooding at times of high tide from northeastern North Carolina to southern New Jersey. The worst conditions are likely in southeastern Virginia, northeastern North Carolina, the eastern part of Maryland and southeastern Delaware, where tides may run 1-3 feet above normal.
Cities such as Norfolk, Virginia, and Ocean City, Maryland, should be prepared for flooding problems related to storm surge and heavy rainfall.
Wind gusts in this same zone may be strong enough to knock down trees and cause power outages.
While impacts farther north depend on the storm’s trajectory, AccuWeather provides an overview of the possible severe weather:
From Monday to Tuesday, the storm may track close enough to the coast to bring snow, rain and strong winds farther north or may stay too far to the east for much precipitation and wind in the mid-Atlantic and eastern New England.
Because of the potential for the storm to turn northward near the coast, there is a chance of snow and rain from Baltimore to Wilmington, Delaware, Philadelphia, New York City, Hartford, Connecticut, Providence, Rhode Island, Boston and Portland, Maine, early next week.
However, if the storm swings wide to the right before making a northward turn, clouds may break at times amid brisk conditions with spotty snow showers from coastal areas of the Northeast to the central and northern Appalachians.
Since the storm is likely to make an abrupt northward turn at some point early next week, areas from eastern Massachusetts to Maine, Nova Scotia and New Brunswick should be prepared for a period of strong winds, coastal flooding and perhaps heavy snow.
As has been the case with the prior nor’easters in the past couple of weeks, small craft should remain in port as the storm approaches. Large ocean-going vessels may want to consider altering their schedule until the risk of heavy seas subsides.
Based on the most likely storm track at this time in the airport hubs from Philadelphia to Boston, some airline delays are likely, but a great deal of flight cancellations are not expected. Only if the storm track farther to the north may delays and cancellations mount.
“Larger than usual uncertainty in strength/placement of our next NorEaster Mon/Tue. EPS range of potential outcomes spans from another big hit to a miss out to sea. All has to do with many delicate interactions between upper-level disturbance,” said Weather.us.
Larger than usual uncertainty in strength/placement of our next #NorEaster Mon/Tue. EPS range of potential outcomes spans from another big hit to a miss out to sea. All has to do with many delicate interactions between upper level disturbances. Maps: https://t.co/6eoB4do34L pic.twitter.com/8oYWZRK7h0
— Weather.us – Home of free ECMWF/Euro model (@WeatherdotUS) March 9, 2018
“Chilly Conditions Continue Through The Weekend,” said Meteorologist Steven DiMartino.
— NY NJ PA Weather (@nynjpaweather) March 9, 2018
“Temperatures 10°F to 20°F below normal for next week in the Southeast. That’s not Spring-like at all. Cold extends into Florida behind storm system in the Atlantic,” said Ryan Maue, Meteorologist and Chief Scientist @weatherdotus.
Temperatures 10°F to 20°F below normal for next week in the Southeast. That’s not Spring like at all. Cold extends into Florida behind storm storm system in the Atlantic. pic.twitter.com/DO4meLUSQs
— Ryan Maue | weather.us (@RyanMaue) March 9, 2018
“Covering the Sunday evening through Tuesday morning potential & a little week two long range as well,” said crankyweatherguy.
Covering the Sunday evening through Tuesday morning potential & a little week two long range as well.
OUTLOOK 03.09.18 pic.twitter.com/qYtMfN9rgS
— crankyweatherguy (@crankywxguy) March 9, 2018